Citrini (@Citrini7) started following @VrntPerception on Sep 28, 2024

RT @VrntPerception: Our consumer pressure proxy is improving, has historically been a leading indicator on retail sales https://t.co/iQTVQz…

Our consumer pressure proxy is improving, has historically been a leading indicator on retail sales https://t.co/iQTVQzcOnf

Shameless plug: If you’re in town for Dreamforce and are interested in tech or product roles at @CapitalOne, come down to the C1 Café in the FiDi today before 4pm I’m running a recruiting event and would love to talk to folks about the seats open on my team and other teams https://t.co/ZOHN6JI3bz

Hey Amazonians, I’m hiring for roles at the senior manager and director levels on my observability team, and we’re only 3 days a week in-office. Slide into my DMs

RT @PeterLakeSounds: Citrini knows https://t.co/KJsnXPjWmK

RT @rennyzucker: @Citrini7 I can’t believe this is how I find about the Oceanliner Europa fire

did you guys know that back in history times stocks used to go down? such a different time. https://t.co/NrY3gntz4L

I hope the people who are short $ESTA don’t cover today. I hope they think they’re being very clever by waiting for evidence of commercialization they think will be lackluster to prove the bear case. It will be so much sweeter to watch them lift the offer at 70 than here.

RT @Citrini7: @binaryprinciple a lesson I learned from an old macro trader: stocks always bottom before the economy bottoms.

HSI low was 40 ticks above my limit buy order https://t.co/sxKusQQKsy

Look at CGB yields tonight. Massive monetary policy - “forceful interest rate cuts” promised. Why would bonds be offered? That’s a hugely bullish continuation signal, imo. All domestic chinese investors have been hiding out in bonds. Yields up as they sell to rotate into stocks

Insanely bullish on chinese milk tbh

the patron saint of the short vol trade

This approach would have saved me a lot of stress over the past year on China.

Every time something seems difficult it strikes me the answer is found by distilling it down to the most basic component and just find the simplest answer for that. https://t.co/GMZxR3nUCK

he’s still a legend https://t.co/OOMW0DuxHv

here comes the hot tepper

what do you mean you didn’t buy more china on the chinese draghi moment anon

It’s above the paywall btw 😉

A trade on my mind rn is our basket of EU & US names with China Exposure, one of 4 baskets in our primer. This could be interesting, especially for those in sectors with solid tailwinds that have big discounts due to China. https://t.co/GD3WCFcZdV

being an oil investor seems exceptionally stressful

no babe it’s ok i like your data dependent rate cuts, the forceful ones scare me https://t.co/v2uAI1RXiu

something you notice about trading is that it is fun & nice to be right but not so enjoyable to be wrong. deep thoughts.

https://t.co/FHzpyitQ9Z

you’ve had two opportunities in 3 days to make 20-25x on friday FXI calls

gonna be a lot of deleted tweets in reply to this lmao

Teddy was our most based president, hands down. https://t.co/le7oaoMzKM

crazy that there’s still demand for high bandwidth memory who could have seen that coming really thought micron was a zero damn.

https://t.co/kfNUpDtDx8

higher

note to self: 9 times out of 10 when I give in to the risk management voice in my head and say “ok, fine, if it goes down 5% more from here then I’m out”… that’s the bottom and I should be ignoring it and buying more. YMMV

RT @zizek_capital: The more time you spend here the more time you just unfollow people and listen to @Citrini7 over at his substack Bad f…

not being a midcurve now good for a 4% move on hang seng over 12 hours. TFP.

I’m going to refrain from sharing my view on Chinese stimulus efforts economically speaking as a reasonable consensus has already emerged (good start/needs more non-monetary aspects). But what I will say is that nearly everyone I’ve spoken to has deep suspicions this acts the

“if 500bn is not enough, then we can do another 500bn” that’s called direct action. don’t midcurve it. https://t.co/adAFBx5Ujk

more pls

an excellent example of why static images of financials that don’t take an educated & reasonable guess as to future growth are useless

CitriniResearch Autumn Sale 15% off a subscription to the best thematic equity research around Valid until 9/30 https://t.co/WIidkY5EIQ

i’d love a sideways market for the next month so i can maximize my cozy apple cider/flannel/leaf watching time

spx 6k by thanksgiving what say you

The only way Intel could be worse is if private equity was involved.

CitriniResearch’s model portfolio, a dynamic & opportunistically hedged L/S allocation to our thematic equity baskets, is up 32% YTD. Since Inception (5/30/23) performance is +115.6%, with less volatility than $SPY. Here’s our Q3 update & new stocks: https://t.co/g8f9MPO6g6

we’re going to rip

just QTing this so I remember to use it when I have a reason to

honestly we did pigeons so dirty. they always came back to us but we abandoned them in favor of technology. return to pigeon imo. https://t.co/VVT5ONGU3q

shorting biopharma names smart? no fun? rarely profitable? sometimes! https://t.co/nrqAxmyzbE

@TimTheMM you should hedge your vol exposure by liking all my tweets

high correlation here https://t.co/nmb63crwTZ

The BoJ is boring again. Nature is healing, macro is dead.

RT @stevehouf: Quite the call from @Citrini7 last month. 🍓 https://t.co/I5XNJ6BWqr

RT @Citrini7: everyone talking about powell getting bullied by the market seems to have forgotten the time the 16th largest bank in america…

If I die of laughter write something nice on my tombstone

Timiraos out here highlighting macro cope is for sure a top 10 moment of the cycle.

RT @BeenThereCap: There is a special satisfaction that comes from thinking a stock market move is very dumb/wrong - such as yesterday after…

https://t.co/RtmIEy6bBQ

https://t.co/dnPFZsxBf9

I seriously would have had an aneurysm if you fucking idiots kept selling equities so this is good.

lmao https://t.co/wqeAk6VrnS

RT @Citrini7: I removed the paywall on our macro memo from earlier this month, which laid out our view on why the Fed would cut 50bps at th…

RT @CompactPOV: @Citrini7 You’ve been goated for me since you called the $SVB collapse 5 months before it happened

I’ve been here for a while. I have a high tolerance for it. But even I have limits and the sheer volume of absolutely inane (or worse arrogantly confident yet clueless) takes on twitter tonight is too much for even me. See you at the next uno reverse card.

RT @MadsCapital: jpow https://t.co/pfLyIsRBTG

timestamp me https://t.co/wqxxvkuZRe

Ressurect the short bonds long equities trade from the depths of hell

I removed the paywall on our macro memo from earlier this month, which laid out our view on why the Fed would cut 50bps at this meeting and why it will work. Read here: https://t.co/lzU1wsSoAG

Think people are going to be very surprised how effective that cut is at stopping any negative momentum in unemployment and jolting biz optimism. The lag of monetary policy will not be as long and variable on the downside as it was on the upside.

It was a bold call in July to say the Fed would cut 50 but it played out, so while I’ve got that going for me I’m gonna make another bold call… That’s the last 50bps cut for the next year.

obligatory “called it” https://t.co/sbqM45LmIC

“oh boy i can’t wait to find out the decision on how much money costs” listen to yourselves. go touch grass.

https://t.co/JYzL3Q9ZN3

been spending some time trying to think of the funniest outcome and i think it’s 25 but stocks still go up

What’s the best pitch you’ve heard in any sector last 3 months

babe wake up new nicky T tweet just dropped

everyone talking about powell getting bullied by the market seems to have forgotten the time the 16th largest bank in america failed and he still hiked 25bps a week later if he cuts 50 it’s because he thinks it’s a good idea not because you losers convinced him with STIR futures

this just in from GS: not having a recession is…good for stocks?! https://t.co/JS9VbHeRf6